Recent forecast model runs show notable spread for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 8, with some guidance indicating radiational cooling under clearing skies could push readings to 3 °C or below while others keep values near 7–8 °C amid stronger southerly flow and residual cloud. El Niño-driven westerly anomalies and the passage of a trough are the dominant large-scale signals, modulating whether a cooler air mass or milder maritime flow arrives overnight. Historical September lows average near 7 °C, but day-to-day variability from Cook Strait wind patterns and local topography can easily shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
9月8日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
3°C以下 69%
13℃以上 69%
5℃ 49%
9℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
3°C以下
69%
4℃
27%
5℃
49%
6℃
25%
7℃
26%
8℃
26%
9℃
49%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
1%
13℃以上
69%
3°C以下 69%
13℃以上 69%
5℃ 49%
9℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
3°C以下
$0 Vol.
69%
4℃
$0 Vol.
27%
5℃
$0 Vol.
49%
6℃
$0 Vol.
25%
7℃
$0 Vol.
26%
8℃
$0 Vol.
26%
9℃
$0 Vol.
49%
10°C
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
1%
13℃以上
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show notable spread for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 8, with some guidance indicating radiational cooling under clearing skies could push readings to 3 °C or below while others keep values near 7–8 °C amid stronger southerly flow and residual cloud. El Niño-driven westerly anomalies and the passage of a trough are the dominant large-scale signals, modulating whether a cooler air mass or milder maritime flow arrives overnight. Historical September lows average near 7 °C, but day-to-day variability from Cook Strait wind patterns and local topography can easily shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show notable spread for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 8, with some guidance indicating radiational cooling under clearing skies could push readings to 3 °C or below while others keep values near 7–8 °C amid stronger southerly flow and residual cloud. El Niño-driven westerly anomalies and the passage of a trough are the dominant large-scale signals, modulating whether a cooler air mass or milder maritime flow arrives overnight. Historical September lows average near 7 °C, but day-to-day variability from Cook Strait wind patterns and local topography can easily shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast model runs show notable spread for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 8, with some guidance indicating radiational cooling under clearing skies could push readings to 3 °C or below while others keep values near 7–8 °C amid stronger southerly flow and residual cloud. El Niño-driven westerly anomalies and the passage of a trough are the dominant large-scale signals, modulating whether a cooler air mass or milder maritime flow arrives overnight. Historical September lows average near 7 °C, but day-to-day variability from Cook Strait wind patterns and local topography can easily shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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