Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, positioning the longtime incumbent for the November general election against Republican Cheryl Riley and Green Party candidate Nancy Wallace. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, driven by its suburban Montgomery County base and proximity to Washington, D.C., underpin trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. Raskin's multiple prior reelections and the absence of competitive primary challenges or late-cycle disruptions reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift favoring Republicans, candidate-specific developments such as health or legal issues, or unusually high turnout anomalies, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for rapid change before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,807 Vol.
$26,807 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$26,807 Vol.
$26,807 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$18,280 Vol.
97%
共和党
$8,528 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, positioning the longtime incumbent for the November general election against Republican Cheryl Riley and Green Party candidate Nancy Wallace. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, driven by its suburban Montgomery County base and proximity to Washington, D.C., underpin trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. Raskin's multiple prior reelections and the absence of competitive primary challenges or late-cycle disruptions reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift favoring Republicans, candidate-specific developments such as health or legal issues, or unusually high turnout anomalies, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for rapid change before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$26,807終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, positioning the longtime incumbent for the November general election against Republican Cheryl Riley and Green Party candidate Nancy Wallace. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, driven by its suburban Montgomery County base and proximity to Washington, D.C., underpin trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. Raskin's multiple prior reelections and the absence of competitive primary challenges or late-cycle disruptions reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift favoring Republicans, candidate-specific developments such as health or legal issues, or unusually high turnout anomalies, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for rapid change before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,807終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, positioning the longtime incumbent for the November general election against Republican Cheryl Riley and Green Party candidate Nancy Wallace. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, driven by its suburban Montgomery County base and proximity to Washington, D.C., underpin trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. Raskin's multiple prior reelections and the absence of competitive primary challenges or late-cycle disruptions reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political shift favoring Republicans, candidate-specific developments such as health or legal issues, or unusually high turnout anomalies, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for rapid change before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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