Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index, and Ross secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in her 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Eugene Douglass has shown negligible fundraising and campaign activity, while all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. These fundamentals, combined with the canceled primaries and limited challenger visibility, underpin the 94.5% Democratic implied probability on Polymarket. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Ross, or an unforeseen national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the race outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,056 Vol.
$16,056 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$16,056 Vol.
$16,056 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$6,255 Vol.
95%
共和党
$9,801 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index, and Ross secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in her 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Eugene Douglass has shown negligible fundraising and campaign activity, while all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. These fundamentals, combined with the canceled primaries and limited challenger visibility, underpin the 94.5% Democratic implied probability on Polymarket. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Ross, or an unforeseen national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the race outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$16,056終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index, and Ross secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in her 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Eugene Douglass has shown negligible fundraising and campaign activity, while all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. These fundamentals, combined with the canceled primaries and limited challenger visibility, underpin the 94.5% Democratic implied probability on Polymarket. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Ross, or an unforeseen national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the race outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,056終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Deborah Ross holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+17 Partisan Voter Index, and Ross secured roughly two-thirds of the vote in her 2024 reelection. Republican nominee Eugene Douglass has shown negligible fundraising and campaign activity, while all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. These fundamentals, combined with the canceled primaries and limited challenger visibility, underpin the 94.5% Democratic implied probability on Polymarket. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Ross, or an unforeseen national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the race outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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