Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary after dominating a limited field, while Democrats advanced Chris Beck from a crowded and fragmented primary. The district's R+14 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including Bentz's 64 percent win in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus around 94-95 percent for the GOP. These structural factors, reinforced by the rural eastern Oregon electorate and limited Democratic infrastructure, sustain the wide gap. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
共和党
$4,187 Vol.
95%
民主党
$4,650 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary after dominating a limited field, while Democrats advanced Chris Beck from a crowded and fragmented primary. The district's R+14 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including Bentz's 64 percent win in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus around 94-95 percent for the GOP. These structural factors, reinforced by the rural eastern Oregon electorate and limited Democratic infrastructure, sustain the wide gap. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$8,837終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary after dominating a limited field, while Democrats advanced Chris Beck from a crowded and fragmented primary. The district's R+14 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including Bentz's 64 percent win in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus around 94-95 percent for the GOP. These structural factors, reinforced by the rural eastern Oregon electorate and limited Democratic infrastructure, sustain the wide gap. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,837終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the OR-02 nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary after dominating a limited field, while Democrats advanced Chris Beck from a crowded and fragmented primary. The district's R+14 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles including Bentz's 64 percent win in 2024, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus around 94-95 percent for the GOP. These structural factors, reinforced by the rural eastern Oregon electorate and limited Democratic infrastructure, sustain the wide gap. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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