Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% for the May 27, 2026 Monetary Policy Statement, reflecting the MPC's April 8 decision to hold amid Middle East-driven oil price spikes pushing near-term CPI inflation to 3.1% for the March quarter—steady at the target band's upper edge—while excess capacity and weakening activity temper hike pressures. Recent May 6 labour data showed unemployment easing to 5.3%, and today's Survey of Expectations revealed one-year CPI expectations rising to 3.41% but end-June OCR at just 2.34%, supporting the no-change lead; a 20% hike odds stems from vigilant MPC guidance against persistent inflation risks, with negligible easing priced amid resilient banks per the May Financial Stability Report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Change 78%
Increase 20%
Decrease <1%
$27,009 Vol.
$27,009 Vol.
Increase
20%
No Change
78%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 78%
Increase 20%
Decrease <1%
$27,009 Vol.
$27,009 Vol.
Increase
20%
No Change
78%
Decrease
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% for the May 27, 2026 Monetary Policy Statement, reflecting the MPC's April 8 decision to hold amid Middle East-driven oil price spikes pushing near-term CPI inflation to 3.1% for the March quarter—steady at the target band's upper edge—while excess capacity and weakening activity temper hike pressures. Recent May 6 labour data showed unemployment easing to 5.3%, and today's Survey of Expectations revealed one-year CPI expectations rising to 3.41% but end-June OCR at just 2.34%, supporting the no-change lead; a 20% hike odds stems from vigilant MPC guidance against persistent inflation risks, with negligible easing priced amid resilient banks per the May Financial Stability Report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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