Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$151,980 Vol.
2026/12/31
May 31
2%
June 30
28%
December 31
71%
$151,980 Vol.
May 31
$74,029 Vol.
2%
June 30
$28,230 Vol.
28%
December 31
$49,721 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
音量
$151,980終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$151,980終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva during February 2026 produced limited progress on practical issues such as prisoner exchanges and energy security before stalling. Since then, Russian statements on May 9 indicated that any direct Russia-Ukraine meeting would serve only as a final signing ceremony for a pre-agreed settlement rather than active negotiations, while Kremlin spokespeople described a comprehensive peace accord as still distant amid ongoing battlefield developments and paused ceasefire efforts. These positions, alongside Ukraine’s continued emphasis on security guarantees and territorial integrity, shape trader assessments of near-term bilateral diplomatic engagement. Upcoming U.S. diplomatic initiatives or shifts in frontline conditions remain the primary variables that could alter prospects for renewed direct talks within the market’s resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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