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icon for SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)

SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)

icon for SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)

SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)

2.0兆ドル以上 71%

1.8兆~2.0兆 13%

1.6兆~1.8兆ドル 6.6%

1.4兆~1.6兆ドル 4.1%

Polymarket

$971,322 Vol.

2.0兆ドル以上 71%

1.8兆~2.0兆 13%

1.6兆~1.8兆ドル 6.6%

1.4兆~1.6兆ドル 4.1%

Polymarket

$971,322 Vol.

2028年以前に上場なし

$195,428 Vol.

1%

1兆ドル未満

$78,611 Vol.

3%

1.0兆ドル~1.2兆ドル

$55,531 Vol.

2%

1.2兆~1.4兆ドル

$72,664 Vol.

3%

1.4兆~1.6兆ドル

$117,745 Vol.

4%

1.6兆~1.8兆ドル

$120,453 Vol.

7%

1.8兆~2.0兆

$108,717 Vol.

13%

2.0兆ドル以上

$222,173 Vol.

71%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, now targeting a June 2026 debut with roadshow activity set for early June and pricing around June 11, underpins the strong 71% implied probability for a $2 trillion-plus closing market cap. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have already lifted valuations from $800 billion to $1.25 trillion, while official targets of $1.75–2 trillion reflect expectations for rapid Starlink subscriber growth, Starship flight-rate scaling, and space-based AI infrastructure. Traders appear to view the $75 billion capital raise and record retail allocation as catalysts that could lock in premium pricing upon Nasdaq listing, consistent with the company's shift from private secondary sales to public-market valuation discovery.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$971,322
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, now targeting a June 2026 debut with roadshow activity set for early June and pricing around June 11, underpins the strong 71% implied probability for a $2 trillion-plus closing market cap. Recent private tenders and the February xAI merger have already lifted valuations from $800 billion to $1.25 trillion, while official targets of $1.75–2 trillion reflect expectations for rapid Starlink subscriber growth, Starship flight-rate scaling, and space-based AI infrastructure. Traders appear to view the $75 billion capital raise and record retail allocation as catalysts that could lock in premium pricing upon Nasdaq listing, consistent with the company's shift from private secondary sales to public-market valuation discovery.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$971,322
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2.0兆ドル以上」で71%、次いで「1.8兆~2.0兆」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)」は$971.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)」の現在のフロントランナーは「2.0兆ドル以上」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.8兆~2.0兆」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SpaceXのIPOクロージング時価総額(ストライキの削減)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。