Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established an exceptionally high bar, positioning the film for a steep second-weekend decline typical of tentpole releases. With cumulative domestic totals already exceeding $480 million in the first week and strong international performance driving over $1.2 billion worldwide, traders see limited room for a hold above $180 million given standard 50-60% drops for superhero sequels and audience burnout patterns. Critical reception, repeat viewership metrics, and competition from other August titles further support this market-implied outcome. An upset into the $180 million-plus range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or promotional surges that defy historical precedents for similar MCU entries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 100.0%
1億8000万～1億9000万 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億〜2億1千万 <1%
$56,862 Vol.
$56,862 Vol.
2026/08/09
<180m
100%
1億8000万～1億9000万
<1%
190-200m
<1%
2億〜2億1千万
<1%
2億1千万～2億2千万
<1%
2億2千万以上
<1%
<180m 100.0%
1億8000万～1億9000万 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億〜2億1千万 <1%
$56,862 Vol.
$56,862 Vol.
2026/08/09
<180m
$37,833 Vol.
100%
1億8000万～1億9000万
$5,085 Vol.
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 Vol.
<1%
2億〜2億1千万
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
2億1千万～2億2千万
$3,503 Vol.
<1%
2億2千万以上
$4,495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established an exceptionally high bar, positioning the film for a steep second-weekend decline typical of tentpole releases. With cumulative domestic totals already exceeding $480 million in the first week and strong international performance driving over $1.2 billion worldwide, traders see limited room for a hold above $180 million given standard 50-60% drops for superhero sequels and audience burnout patterns. Critical reception, repeat viewership metrics, and competition from other August titles further support this market-implied outcome. An upset into the $180 million-plus range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or promotional surges that defy historical precedents for similar MCU entries.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
音量
$56,862終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established an exceptionally high bar, positioning the film for a steep second-weekend decline typical of tentpole releases. With cumulative domestic totals already exceeding $480 million in the first week and strong international performance driving over $1.2 billion worldwide, traders see limited room for a hold above $180 million given standard 50-60% drops for superhero sequels and audience burnout patterns. Critical reception, repeat viewership metrics, and competition from other August titles further support this market-implied outcome. An upset into the $180 million-plus range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or promotional surges that defy historical precedents for similar MCU entries.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$56,862終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend has established an exceptionally high bar, positioning the film for a steep second-weekend decline typical of tentpole releases. With cumulative domestic totals already exceeding $480 million in the first week and strong international performance driving over $1.2 billion worldwide, traders see limited room for a hold above $180 million given standard 50-60% drops for superhero sequels and audience burnout patterns. Critical reception, repeat viewership metrics, and competition from other August titles further support this market-implied outcome. An upset into the $180 million-plus range would require unusually strong word-of-mouth or promotional surges that defy historical precedents for similar MCU entries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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