Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,084 Vol.
$31,084 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$31,084 Vol.
$31,084 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$20,129 Vol.
91%
民主党
$10,954 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$31,084終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,084終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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