Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$117,489 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
4%
$117,489 Vol.
12月31日
$23,387 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$117,489終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
音量
$117,489終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened regional tensions involving Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran have sustained U.S. Embassy Beirut on ordered departure status since February 2026, with non-emergency personnel and families relocated while core operations continue under restrictions. Security alerts through August 1, 2026, cite potential for rapid escalation and urge American citizens to depart via commercial flights, yet the embassy has not shifted to full evacuation or closure. Diplomatic efforts, including June 2026 preliminary Israel-Lebanon understandings and proposed verification mechanisms with third-party contributors, have not resolved underlying risks or altered the ordered departure posture. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between persistent volatility in southern Lebanon and the absence of new triggers for complete embassy withdrawal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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