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icon for 12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?

12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?

icon for 12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?

12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

12% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

12% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For purposes of this market, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For purposes of this market, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
音量
$2,296
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For purposes of this market, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For purposes of this market, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For purposes of this market, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
音量
$2,296
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For purposes of this market, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.

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よくある質問

「12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「米国財務省の取引は12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で行われますか?」で12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、12¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に12%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 29, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「米国財務省の取引は12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で行われますか?」で12%であり、市場がこの結果に12%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「12月31日までにブロックチェーン上で米国財務省の取引を行いますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。