Recent summits and the 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement established a managed trade framework with tariff suspensions extended through November 2026, alongside new U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to handle reciprocal reductions on select goods. As of mid-June 2026, U.S. Trade Representative proposals for additional Section 301 tariffs and the absence of scheduled high-level negotiations before month-end have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive tariff agreement will be reached by June 30. With the current truce timeline anchored to November and ongoing bilateral talks focused on purchases and non-tariff issues rather than immediate rate resets, market pricing reflects the limited window and procedural barriers. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or executive actions could theoretically alter this path, though such developments remain improbable in the remaining days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,786 Vol.
$28,786 Vol.
2026/06/30
$28,786 Vol.
$28,786 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent summits and the 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement established a managed trade framework with tariff suspensions extended through November 2026, alongside new U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to handle reciprocal reductions on select goods. As of mid-June 2026, U.S. Trade Representative proposals for additional Section 301 tariffs and the absence of scheduled high-level negotiations before month-end have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive tariff agreement will be reached by June 30. With the current truce timeline anchored to November and ongoing bilateral talks focused on purchases and non-tariff issues rather than immediate rate resets, market pricing reflects the limited window and procedural barriers. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or executive actions could theoretically alter this path, though such developments remain improbable in the remaining days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
音量
$28,786終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent summits and the 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement established a managed trade framework with tariff suspensions extended through November 2026, alongside new U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to handle reciprocal reductions on select goods. As of mid-June 2026, U.S. Trade Representative proposals for additional Section 301 tariffs and the absence of scheduled high-level negotiations before month-end have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive tariff agreement will be reached by June 30. With the current truce timeline anchored to November and ongoing bilateral talks focused on purchases and non-tariff issues rather than immediate rate resets, market pricing reflects the limited window and procedural barriers. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or executive actions could theoretically alter this path, though such developments remain improbable in the remaining days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
音量
$28,786終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent summits and the 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement established a managed trade framework with tariff suspensions extended through November 2026, alongside new U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to handle reciprocal reductions on select goods. As of mid-June 2026, U.S. Trade Representative proposals for additional Section 301 tariffs and the absence of scheduled high-level negotiations before month-end have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive tariff agreement will be reached by June 30. With the current truce timeline anchored to November and ongoing bilateral talks focused on purchases and non-tariff issues rather than immediate rate resets, market pricing reflects the limited window and procedural barriers. Late diplomatic breakthroughs or executive actions could theoretically alter this path, though such developments remain improbable in the remaining days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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