**No Democratic candidate has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of early August 2026, leaving the field open and pushing "Other" to 50% in trader consensus.** Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% due to his repeated recent hints—including a July 31, 2026, statement at a National Urban League event—and his record as a two-term governor who won twice in deep-red Kentucky while chairing the Democratic Governors Association. Gavin Newsom sits at 19.7% on the strength of his high national profile, California governorship, and ongoing positioning on issues like AI regulation, though his odds in related nominee markets have slipped. Kamala Harris (12.5%) and Pete Buttigieg (12.0%) draw support from name recognition and prior national runs, while lower-priced names reflect limited early signals. The DNC’s July 2026 primary calendar proposal and focus on 2026 midterms have kept attention on positioning rather than declarations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アンディ・ベシア 29%
ギャビン・ニューサム 19.9%
ピート・ブティジェッジ 14%
カマラ・ハリス 13%
新規
新規
2028/12/31
アンディ・ベシア
29%
ギャビン・ニューサム
20%
ピート・ブティジェッジ
14%
カマラ・ハリス
13%
ロ・カンナ
9%
ラーム・エマニュエル
8%
ジョシュ・シャピロ
4%
ジョン・オソフ
2%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス
2%
ジョン・スチュワート
<1%
スティーブン・A・スミス
<1%
アンディ・ベシア 29%
ギャビン・ニューサム 19.9%
ピート・ブティジェッジ 14%
カマラ・ハリス 13%
新規
新規
2028/12/31
アンディ・ベシア
$1,880 Vol.
29%
ギャビン・ニューサム
$2,758 Vol.
20%
ピート・ブティジェッジ
$580 Vol.
14%
カマラ・ハリス
$504 Vol.
13%
ロ・カンナ
$383 Vol.
9%
ラーム・エマニュエル
$512 Vol.
8%
ジョシュ・シャピロ
$306 Vol.
4%
ジョン・オソフ
$306 Vol.
2%
アレクサンドリア・オカシオ＝コルテス
$391 Vol.
2%
ジョン・スチュワート
$364 Vol.
<1%
スティーブン・A・スミス
$284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No Democratic candidate has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of early August 2026, leaving the field open and pushing "Other" to 50% in trader consensus.** Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% due to his repeated recent hints—including a July 31, 2026, statement at a National Urban League event—and his record as a two-term governor who won twice in deep-red Kentucky while chairing the Democratic Governors Association. Gavin Newsom sits at 19.7% on the strength of his high national profile, California governorship, and ongoing positioning on issues like AI regulation, though his odds in related nominee markets have slipped. Kamala Harris (12.5%) and Pete Buttigieg (12.0%) draw support from name recognition and prior national runs, while lower-priced names reflect limited early signals. The DNC’s July 2026 primary calendar proposal and focus on 2026 midterms have kept attention on positioning rather than declarations.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
音量
$8,270終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No Democratic candidate has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of early August 2026, leaving the field open and pushing "Other" to 50% in trader consensus.** Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% due to his repeated recent hints—including a July 31, 2026, statement at a National Urban League event—and his record as a two-term governor who won twice in deep-red Kentucky while chairing the Democratic Governors Association. Gavin Newsom sits at 19.7% on the strength of his high national profile, California governorship, and ongoing positioning on issues like AI regulation, though his odds in related nominee markets have slipped. Kamala Harris (12.5%) and Pete Buttigieg (12.0%) draw support from name recognition and prior national runs, while lower-priced names reflect limited early signals. The DNC’s July 2026 primary calendar proposal and focus on 2026 midterms have kept attention on positioning rather than declarations.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$8,270終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**No Democratic candidate has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of early August 2026, leaving the field open and pushing "Other" to 50% in trader consensus.** Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% due to his repeated recent hints—including a July 31, 2026, statement at a National Urban League event—and his record as a two-term governor who won twice in deep-red Kentucky while chairing the Democratic Governors Association. Gavin Newsom sits at 19.7% on the strength of his high national profile, California governorship, and ongoing positioning on issues like AI regulation, though his odds in related nominee markets have slipped. Kamala Harris (12.5%) and Pete Buttigieg (12.0%) draw support from name recognition and prior national runs, while lower-priced names reflect limited early signals. The DNC’s July 2026 primary calendar proposal and focus on 2026 midterms have kept attention on positioning rather than declarations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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