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icon for JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？
政治·イランの停戦

JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？

icon for JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？
政治·イランの停戦

JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？

$144,115 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$144,115 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$31,386 Vol.

4%

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance’s potential travel to Pakistan hinges on the status of US-Iran diplomatic efforts, where Islamabad has hosted indirect talks aimed at extending or formalizing a ceasefire. A planned April 2026 visit to lead the US delegation was postponed indefinitely after Iran declined to commit to renewed negotiations and President Trump unilaterally extended the existing ceasefire. White House statements cited ongoing policy meetings in Washington and the absence of Iranian concessions on nuclear issues as reasons for the delay, with no new date announced. Trader focus now centers on whether renewed backchannel progress or a scheduled summit within the market’s timeframe could revive the trip, or if regional tensions and stalled diplomacy keep Vance in the United States.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$144,115
マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Vice President JD Vance’s potential travel to Pakistan hinges on the status of US-Iran diplomatic efforts, where Islamabad has hosted indirect talks aimed at extending or formalizing a ceasefire. A planned April 2026 visit to lead the US delegation was postponed indefinitely after Iran declined to commit to renewed negotiations and President Trump unilaterally extended the existing ceasefire. White House statements cited ongoing policy meetings in Washington and the absence of Iranian concessions on nuclear issues as reasons for the delay, with no new date announced. Trader focus now centers on whether renewed backchannel progress or a scheduled summit within the market’s timeframe could revive the trip, or if regional tensions and stalled diplomacy keep Vance in the United States.

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$144,115
マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「May 31」で4%、次いで「4月22日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？」は$144.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 21, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？」の現在のリーダーは「May 31」でわずか4%、「4月22日」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「JDヴァンスは...までにパキスタンを訪問しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。