María Corina Machado remains in exile outside Venezuela as of mid-August 2026, with repeated statements of intent to return by year-end clashing against ongoing government barriers and security risks that have blocked prior attempts, including a planned trip tied to earthquake recovery efforts in June. Following her covert departure in December 2025 for the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony, the opposition leader has coordinated with international partners while facing travel restrictions and potential arrest warrants tied to her role in the post-Maduro political transition. Trader consensus on near-term entry reflects these procedural and institutional hurdles, alongside the need for alignment on electoral preparations and coalition dynamics within the broader Venezuelan transition process. Scheduled political developments through late 2026, including any shifts in U.S. engagement or domestic stabilization measures, could alter the conditions for her physical return.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6,408,250 Vol.

8月31日
5%

9月30日
11%

12月31日
25%
$6,408,250 Vol.

8月31日
5%

9月30日
11%

12月31日
25%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jul 28, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...María Corina Machado remains in exile outside Venezuela as of mid-August 2026, with repeated statements of intent to return by year-end clashing against ongoing government barriers and security risks that have blocked prior attempts, including a planned trip tied to earthquake recovery efforts in June. Following her covert departure in December 2025 for the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony, the opposition leader has coordinated with international partners while facing travel restrictions and potential arrest warrants tied to her role in the post-Maduro political transition. Trader consensus on near-term entry reflects these procedural and institutional hurdles, alongside the need for alignment on electoral preparations and coalition dynamics within the broader Venezuelan transition process. Scheduled political developments through late 2026, including any shifts in U.S. engagement or domestic stabilization measures, could alter the conditions for her physical return.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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