Russian forces continue incremental advances and infiltration efforts toward Dobropillia in Donetsk Oblast as part of broader operations to envelop Ukrainian positions in the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk area and secure logistics routes. In July 2026, large-scale mechanized assaults southeast of the city were repelled by Ukrainian drone units, resulting in heavy Russian equipment losses, while subsequent small-group infiltrations from units such as the 177th Naval Infantry have reached approaches from the east and southeast. Russian glide bomb strikes and artillery have intensified on the city and nearby settlements, yet independent assessments indicate no confirmed Russian entry into Dobropillia itself as of late August. Ukrainian forces have maintained defensive lines, conducted limited counteractions south of the city, and leveraged drone superiority to disrupt Russian momentum. These developments, alongside Russian prioritization of the sector and Ukrainian reinforcement of approaches, shape trader assessments of the timeline and probability of capture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日10月31日
13%
12月31日
21%
$7,100 Vol.
10月31日
13%
12月31日
21%
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Dobropillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia1-6bc31d8213.png
Dobropillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dobropillia%202-daa3abcc03.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/GzbpmgPN3LpxzvrcA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental advances and infiltration efforts toward Dobropillia in Donetsk Oblast as part of broader operations to envelop Ukrainian positions in the Kramatorsk-Sloviansk area and secure logistics routes. In July 2026, large-scale mechanized assaults southeast of the city were repelled by Ukrainian drone units, resulting in heavy Russian equipment losses, while subsequent small-group infiltrations from units such as the 177th Naval Infantry have reached approaches from the east and southeast. Russian glide bomb strikes and artillery have intensified on the city and nearby settlements, yet independent assessments indicate no confirmed Russian entry into Dobropillia itself as of late August. Ukrainian forces have maintained defensive lines, conducted limited counteractions south of the city, and leveraged drone superiority to disrupt Russian momentum. These developments, alongside Russian prioritization of the sector and Ukrainian reinforcement of approaches, shape trader assessments of the timeline and probability of capture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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