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テクノロジー·ビッグテック

サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をするだろうか？

icon for サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をするだろうか？
テクノロジー·ビッグテック

サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をするだろうか？

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$13,377 Vol.

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$13,377 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.

This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.

If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,377
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.

This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.

If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$13,377
マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をするだろうか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をしますか？」で100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をするだろうか？」は$13.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をするだろうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をするだろうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「サム・アルトマンはマスクに不利な証言をしますか？」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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