Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he intends to serve another full Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation in an August 7, 2026, Wall Street Journal interview following an erroneous late-June NPR report. Traders monitor statements from the justice and sources close to him, alongside Senate confirmation dynamics under the current Republican majority. Speculation has centered on timing that could allow a conservative successor nomination before potential shifts after the 2026 midterms, with Alito hiring clerks for the term beginning in October. No announcement has occurred, and historical patterns show justices often time departures to align with favorable political conditions for replacement. Upcoming events include the start of the new term and any further public remarks that could shift implied probabilities in retirement-date markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$3,451,512 Vol.
2026/12/31
9月30日
2%
12月31日
6%
2027年6月30日
34%
$3,451,512 Vol.
9月30日
$988,681 Vol.
2%
12月31日
$813,911 Vol.
6%
2027年6月30日
$47,256 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he intends to serve another full Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation in an August 7, 2026, Wall Street Journal interview following an erroneous late-June NPR report. Traders monitor statements from the justice and sources close to him, alongside Senate confirmation dynamics under the current Republican majority. Speculation has centered on timing that could allow a conservative successor nomination before potential shifts after the 2026 midterms, with Alito hiring clerks for the term beginning in October. No announcement has occurred, and historical patterns show justices often time departures to align with favorable political conditions for replacement. Upcoming events include the start of the new term and any further public remarks that could shift implied probabilities in retirement-date markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
マーケット開始日： Feb 17, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,451,512終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he intends to serve another full Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation in an August 7, 2026, Wall Street Journal interview following an erroneous late-June NPR report. Traders monitor statements from the justice and sources close to him, alongside Senate confirmation dynamics under the current Republican majority. Speculation has centered on timing that could allow a conservative successor nomination before potential shifts after the 2026 midterms, with Alito hiring clerks for the term beginning in October. No announcement has occurred, and historical patterns show justices often time departures to align with favorable political conditions for replacement. Upcoming events include the start of the new term and any further public remarks that could shift implied probabilities in retirement-date markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
音量
$3,451,512終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has publicly stated he intends to serve another full Supreme Court term, directly addressing retirement speculation in an August 7, 2026, Wall Street Journal interview following an erroneous late-June NPR report. Traders monitor statements from the justice and sources close to him, alongside Senate confirmation dynamics under the current Republican majority. Speculation has centered on timing that could allow a conservative successor nomination before potential shifts after the 2026 midterms, with Alito hiring clerks for the term beginning in October. No announcement has occurred, and historical patterns show justices often time departures to align with favorable political conditions for replacement. Upcoming events include the start of the new term and any further public remarks that could shift implied probabilities in retirement-date markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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