Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
35% 確率
$124,993 Vol.
$124,993 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
35% 確率
$124,993 Vol.
$124,993 Vol.
2026/12/31
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
音量
$124,993終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$124,993終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum and subsequent technical rounds, have produced a temporary ceasefire and opened nuclear discussions but left core disputes unresolved, particularly over uranium enrichment limits, verification, and sanctions relief. UN Security Council actions this year have focused on condemning Iranian missile activity and reimposing prior restrictions rather than endorsing new agreements. With major powers divided on enforcement and a compressed timeline to year-end, traders assess limited prospects for a finalized deal reaching formal UNSC adoption.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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