Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that explicitly commits both sides to a 60-day (extendable) process for a final agreement on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the text stating that any final deal will be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution. The Council remains divided over the Iranian nuclear file following the 2025 snapback of sanctions and competing views on Resolution 2231, creating procedural hurdles even as bilateral talks advance in Switzerland. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether negotiators can bridge gaps on enrichment limits, enriched-material disposition, and sanctions termination in time for a Council vote before year-end, alongside risks from regional flashpoints or shifts in P5 positions that could block consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that explicitly commits both sides to a 60-day (extendable) process for a final agreement on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the text stating that any final deal will be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution. The Council remains divided over the Iranian nuclear file following the 2025 snapback of sanctions and competing views on Resolution 2231, creating procedural hurdles even as bilateral talks advance in Switzerland. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether negotiators can bridge gaps on enrichment limits, enriched-material disposition, and sanctions termination in time for a Council vote before year-end, alongside risks from regional flashpoints or shifts in P5 positions that could block consensus.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
音量
$2,605終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that explicitly commits both sides to a 60-day (extendable) process for a final agreement on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the text stating that any final deal will be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution. The Council remains divided over the Iranian nuclear file following the 2025 snapback of sanctions and competing views on Resolution 2231, creating procedural hurdles even as bilateral talks advance in Switzerland. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether negotiators can bridge gaps on enrichment limits, enriched-material disposition, and sanctions termination in time for a Council vote before year-end, alongside risks from regional flashpoints or shifts in P5 positions that could block consensus.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,605終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding that explicitly commits both sides to a 60-day (extendable) process for a final agreement on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and related issues, with the text stating that any final deal will be endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution. The Council remains divided over the Iranian nuclear file following the 2025 snapback of sanctions and competing views on Resolution 2231, creating procedural hurdles even as bilateral talks advance in Switzerland. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether negotiators can bridge gaps on enrichment limits, enriched-material disposition, and sanctions termination in time for a Council vote before year-end, alongside risks from regional flashpoints or shifts in P5 positions that could block consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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