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Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

$274,076 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$274,076 Vol.

Polymarket

May 17

$442 Vol.

5%

May 18

$950 Vol.

6%

May 19

$3 Vol.

19%

May 20

$69 Vol.

20%

May 21

$0 Vol.

19%

May 22

$0 Vol.

19%

May 23

$0 Vol.

19%

May 24

$0 Vol.

18%

May 25

$0 Vol.

19%

May 26

$0 Vol.

19%

May 27

$0 Vol.

18%

May 28

$0 Vol.

16%

May 29

$0 Vol.

18%

May 30

$6 Vol.

19%

May 31

$24 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.President Trump’s recent public appearances have fueled trader interest in his dancing habits, particularly after he led students in his signature YMCA-inspired routine at a White House fitness event on May 5, 2026. The moment went viral across social media and mainstream outlets, reinforcing his reputation for energetic crowd interactions that often include arm-pumping moves synced to the Village People classic. With multiple Polymarket contracts tracking dance appearances at upcoming political and ceremonial gatherings through late May, traders are weighing his pattern of spontaneous performances at rallies and youth events against more formal settings where he has stayed composed. Historical footage from campaign stops shows consistent dance displays when music plays, yet high-profile dinners have produced no such moments, creating a narrow window for shifts ahead of the next major public milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
音量
$274,076
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.President Trump’s recent public appearances have fueled trader interest in his dancing habits, particularly after he led students in his signature YMCA-inspired routine at a White House fitness event on May 5, 2026. The moment went viral across social media and mainstream outlets, reinforcing his reputation for energetic crowd interactions that often include arm-pumping moves synced to the Village People classic. With multiple Polymarket contracts tracking dance appearances at upcoming political and ceremonial gatherings through late May, traders are weighing his pattern of spontaneous performances at rallies and youth events against more formal settings where he has stayed composed. Historical footage from campaign stops shows consistent dance displays when music plays, yet high-profile dinners have produced no such moments, creating a narrow window for shifts ahead of the next major public milestones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
音量
$274,076
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

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よくある質問

「Will Trump dance on...?」はPolymarket上の31個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「May 1」で100%、次いで「May 5」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Trump dance on...?」は$274.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Trump dance on...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている31個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Trump dance on...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「May 1」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「May 5」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Trump dance on...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。