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icon for 今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?

今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?

icon for 今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?

今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規

$60,972 Vol.

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規

$60,972 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% for no public insult this week, reflecting his recent praise of Xi as a "great gentleman," "intelligent man," and leader with whom he maintains a "great relationship" despite policy frictions on trade, Taiwan, and the Iran conflict. Amid red-carpet diplomacy—including planned tête-à-têtes on AI, fentanyl, and Strait of Hormuz access—no insults have materialized, aligning with historical patterns of personal rapport during summits. Realistic shifts could arise from summit breakdowns, leaked concessions, or post-meeting Truth Social posts amid escalation signals, though traders price such risks as minimal given the ongoing de-escalation focus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$60,972
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% for no public insult this week, reflecting his recent praise of Xi as a "great gentleman," "intelligent man," and leader with whom he maintains a "great relationship" despite policy frictions on trade, Taiwan, and the Iran conflict. Amid red-carpet diplomacy—including planned tête-à-têtes on AI, fentanyl, and Strait of Hormuz access—no insults have materialized, aligning with historical patterns of personal rapport during summits. Realistic shifts could arise from summit breakdowns, leaked concessions, or post-meeting Truth Social posts amid escalation signals, though traders price such risks as minimal given the ongoing de-escalation focus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$60,972
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「今週、トランプは習近平を侮辱するだろうか?」で4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?」は$61Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?」の現在のリーダーは「今週、トランプは習近平を侮辱するだろうか?」でわずか4%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「今週、トランプ大統領は習氏を侮辱するだろうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。