Tesla shares closed near $406 on June 12, 2026, amid volatility tied to SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut at a roughly $2.1–2.2 trillion valuation. Traders are weighing whether capital rotation into the newly public SpaceX could pressure TSLA or reinforce the broader Musk ecosystem narrative, with recent analyst notes highlighting mixed delivery trends and heavy AI/robotaxi capex that turned Q1 free cash flow negative despite 16% revenue growth. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty around near-term price thresholds, as the stock trades well above historical base rates but faces elevated valuation multiples and no major catalysts until July earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ $457.50
12%
↑ $450
17%
↑ $442.50
20%
↑ $435
26%
↑ $427.50
52%
↑ $420
50%
↑ $412.50
75%
↓ $405
83%
↓ $397.50
66%
↓ $390
56%
↓ $382.50
48%
↓ $375
37%
↓ $367.50
24%
↓ $360
22%
$9 Vol.
↑ $457.50
12%
↑ $450
17%
↑ $442.50
20%
↑ $435
26%
↑ $427.50
52%
↑ $420
50%
↑ $412.50
75%
↓ $405
83%
↓ $397.50
66%
↓ $390
56%
↓ $382.50
48%
↓ $375
37%
↓ $367.50
24%
↓ $360
22%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日: Jun 12, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Tesla shares closed near $406 on June 12, 2026, amid volatility tied to SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut at a roughly $2.1–2.2 trillion valuation. Traders are weighing whether capital rotation into the newly public SpaceX could pressure TSLA or reinforce the broader Musk ecosystem narrative, with recent analyst notes highlighting mixed delivery trends and heavy AI/robotaxi capex that turned Q1 free cash flow negative despite 16% revenue growth. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty around near-term price thresholds, as the stock trades well above historical base rates but faces elevated valuation multiples and no major catalysts until July earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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