Trader consensus heavily favors "No" for Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state due to insurmountable constitutional, legal, and diplomatic barriers. Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, plus territorial consent, with no bills, hearings, or bipartisan support emerging despite President Trump's May 2026 remarks and earlier Truth Social posts. Venezuela's interim leadership has repeatedly affirmed sovereignty and rejected any annexation, while U.S. influence remains limited to oil sector arrangements rather than statehood processes. The market's December 31, 2026, resolution window shows no scheduled votes or negotiations that could alter this path. Only an unforeseen congressional reversal combined with Venezuelan consent could shift outcomes, though such developments lack precedent or current momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
2% 確率
$393,779 Vol.
$393,779 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
2% 確率
$393,779 Vol.
$393,779 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" for Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state due to insurmountable constitutional, legal, and diplomatic barriers. Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, plus territorial consent, with no bills, hearings, or bipartisan support emerging despite President Trump's May 2026 remarks and earlier Truth Social posts. Venezuela's interim leadership has repeatedly affirmed sovereignty and rejected any annexation, while U.S. influence remains limited to oil sector arrangements rather than statehood processes. The market's December 31, 2026, resolution window shows no scheduled votes or negotiations that could alter this path. Only an unforeseen congressional reversal combined with Venezuelan consent could shift outcomes, though such developments lack precedent or current momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
音量
$393,779終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" for Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state due to insurmountable constitutional, legal, and diplomatic barriers. Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, plus territorial consent, with no bills, hearings, or bipartisan support emerging despite President Trump's May 2026 remarks and earlier Truth Social posts. Venezuela's interim leadership has repeatedly affirmed sovereignty and rejected any annexation, while U.S. influence remains limited to oil sector arrangements rather than statehood processes. The market's December 31, 2026, resolution window shows no scheduled votes or negotiations that could alter this path. Only an unforeseen congressional reversal combined with Venezuelan consent could shift outcomes, though such developments lack precedent or current momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$393,779終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" for Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state due to insurmountable constitutional, legal, and diplomatic barriers. Article IV requires congressional approval for new states, plus territorial consent, with no bills, hearings, or bipartisan support emerging despite President Trump's May 2026 remarks and earlier Truth Social posts. Venezuela's interim leadership has repeatedly affirmed sovereignty and rejected any annexation, while U.S. influence remains limited to oil sector arrangements rather than statehood processes. The market's December 31, 2026, resolution window shows no scheduled votes or negotiations that could alter this path. Only an unforeseen congressional reversal combined with Venezuelan consent could shift outcomes, though such developments lack precedent or current momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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