Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $4,450–$4,500 amid shifting expectations for the Federal Reserve’s September FOMC meeting, where the probability of a rate hike has eased toward 50% following dovish comments from Governor Christopher Waller on disinflation trends. Recent U.S. nonfarm payrolls and ADP employment data, alongside upcoming August CPI and PPI releases, directly influence Treasury yields, the dollar index, and real-rate expectations that pressure the non-yielding metal. Higher oil prices add two-sided inflation risk, while geopolitical tensions provide marginal support. Traders are monitoring these data prints for clarity on whether policy stays on hold or tightens further, with levels around $4,530 resistance and $4,300–$4,350 support defining near-term moves into the meeting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ $4,750
45%
↑ 4,700ドル
26%
↑ $4,650
52%
↑ 4,600ドル
52%
↑ $4,550
52%
↑ $4,500
52%
↑ 4,450ドル
52%
↓ $4,400
52%
↓ $4,350
52%
↓ $4,300
52%
↓ $4,250
50%
↓ 4,200ドル
95%
↓ 4,150ドル
51%
↓ $4,100
1%
$2,241 Vol.
↑ $4,750
45%
↑ 4,700ドル
26%
↑ $4,650
52%
↑ 4,600ドル
52%
↑ $4,550
52%
↑ $4,500
52%
↑ 4,450ドル
52%
↓ $4,400
52%
↓ $4,350
52%
↓ $4,300
52%
↓ $4,250
50%
↓ 4,200ドル
95%
↓ 4,150ドル
51%
↓ $4,100
1%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $4,450–$4,500 amid shifting expectations for the Federal Reserve’s September FOMC meeting, where the probability of a rate hike has eased toward 50% following dovish comments from Governor Christopher Waller on disinflation trends. Recent U.S. nonfarm payrolls and ADP employment data, alongside upcoming August CPI and PPI releases, directly influence Treasury yields, the dollar index, and real-rate expectations that pressure the non-yielding metal. Higher oil prices add two-sided inflation risk, while geopolitical tensions provide marginal support. Traders are monitoring these data prints for clarity on whether policy stays on hold or tightens further, with levels around $4,530 resistance and $4,300–$4,350 support defining near-term moves into the meeting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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