Recent polling ahead of the May 17 Andalusia regional election shows VOX holding steady at 13-16% vote share, positioning the party for 16-18 seats as the consensus range among traders. Surveys from GAD3, SigmaDos, and 40dB cluster toward the lower end of that band, while IMOP and Gesop estimates push closer to 17-19, creating a tight distribution that favors the 16-18 bucket over wider spreads. The conservative PP's projected near-majority of 52-58 seats has reduced pressure on VOX to secure higher totals for coalition leverage, keeping outcomes above 21 seats at lower implied probabilities. With voting imminent, final turnout among right-leaning voters in key provinces remains the main variable that could shift seat counts within the current 13-20 seat polling envelope.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트16-18 49%
13-15 24%
19-21 24%
22+ 10.6%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
<13
4%
13-15
26%
16-18
45%
19-21
24%
22+
11%
16-18 49%
13-15 24%
19-21 24%
22+ 10.6%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
<13
$732 거래량
4%
13-15
$765 거래량
26%
16-18
$976 거래량
45%
19-21
$1,730 거래량
24%
22+
$2,883 거래량
11%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling ahead of the May 17 Andalusia regional election shows VOX holding steady at 13-16% vote share, positioning the party for 16-18 seats as the consensus range among traders. Surveys from GAD3, SigmaDos, and 40dB cluster toward the lower end of that band, while IMOP and Gesop estimates push closer to 17-19, creating a tight distribution that favors the 16-18 bucket over wider spreads. The conservative PP's projected near-majority of 52-58 seats has reduced pressure on VOX to secure higher totals for coalition leverage, keeping outcomes above 21 seats at lower implied probabilities. With voting imminent, final turnout among right-leaning voters in key provinces remains the main variable that could shift seat counts within the current 13-20 seat polling envelope.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
거래량
$7,085종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling ahead of the May 17 Andalusia regional election shows VOX holding steady at 13-16% vote share, positioning the party for 16-18 seats as the consensus range among traders. Surveys from GAD3, SigmaDos, and 40dB cluster toward the lower end of that band, while IMOP and Gesop estimates push closer to 17-19, creating a tight distribution that favors the 16-18 bucket over wider spreads. The conservative PP's projected near-majority of 52-58 seats has reduced pressure on VOX to secure higher totals for coalition leverage, keeping outcomes above 21 seats at lower implied probabilities. With voting imminent, final turnout among right-leaning voters in key provinces remains the main variable that could shift seat counts within the current 13-20 seat polling envelope.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
거래량
$7,085종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the May 17 Andalusia regional election shows VOX holding steady at 13-16% vote share, positioning the party for 16-18 seats as the consensus range among traders. Surveys from GAD3, SigmaDos, and 40dB cluster toward the lower end of that band, while IMOP and Gesop estimates push closer to 17-19, creating a tight distribution that favors the 16-18 bucket over wider spreads. The conservative PP's projected near-majority of 52-58 seats has reduced pressure on VOX to secure higher totals for coalition leverage, keeping outcomes above 21 seats at lower implied probabilities. With voting imminent, final turnout among right-leaning voters in key provinces remains the main variable that could shift seat counts within the current 13-20 seat polling envelope.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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