Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 98.6%
6,000억+ <1%
3,000–4,000억 달러 <1%
4,000억~6,000억 <1%
$1,299,068 거래량
$1,299,068 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억+
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
99%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 98.6%
6,000억+ <1%
3,000–4,000억 달러 <1%
4,000억~6,000억 <1%
$1,299,068 거래량
$1,299,068 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$263,330 거래량
<1%
1,000억~2,000억 달러
$91,813 거래량
<1%
2,000–3,000억 달러
$147,455 거래량
<1%
3,000–4,000억 달러
$98,874 거래량
<1%
4,000억~6,000억
$161,149 거래량
<1%
6,000억+
$285,606 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$250,841 거래량
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
거래량
$1,299,068종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$1,299,068종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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