Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 77.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by the latest Pallas Data poll of party members (May 1–2) showing her leading first preferences at 31% amid 11.5% undecideds, with preferential ballot exhaustion likely consolidating support behind the frontrunner. Her endorsements from MLAs Harman Bhangu and Kristina Loewen, former premiers Jason Kenney and Gordon Campbell, plus National Post backing and strong fundraising, have widened her edge over Kerry-Lynne Findlay (24% in poll, 13.5% market) following final debates and candidate withdrawals. Voting opens May 23 after membership verification closes May 20, positioning lower-polling contenders like Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar as longshots.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트캐롤라인 엘리엇 78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.6%
유리 풀머 4.3%
이안 블랙 4.2%
$173,584 거래량
$173,584 거래량
2026.05.30
캐롤라인 엘리엇
78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
14%
유리 풀머
4%
이안 블랙
4%
피터 밀로바르
4%
브루스 밴맨
<1%
하르만 방구
<1%
워렌 햄
<1%
대럴 존스
<1%
캐롤라인 엘리엇 78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.6%
유리 풀머 4.3%
이안 블랙 4.2%
$173,584 거래량
$173,584 거래량
2026.05.30
캐롤라인 엘리엇
$46,113 거래량
78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
$21,763 거래량
14%
유리 풀머
$22,046 거래량
4%
이안 블랙
$19,649 거래량
4%
피터 밀로바르
$19,816 거래량
4%
브루스 밴맨
$12,001 거래량
<1%
하르만 방구
$15,222 거래량
<1%
워렌 햄
$8,423 거래량
<1%
대럴 존스
$8,551 거래량
<1%
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 77.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by the latest Pallas Data poll of party members (May 1–2) showing her leading first preferences at 31% amid 11.5% undecideds, with preferential ballot exhaustion likely consolidating support behind the frontrunner. Her endorsements from MLAs Harman Bhangu and Kristina Loewen, former premiers Jason Kenney and Gordon Campbell, plus National Post backing and strong fundraising, have widened her edge over Kerry-Lynne Findlay (24% in poll, 13.5% market) following final debates and candidate withdrawals. Voting opens May 23 after membership verification closes May 20, positioning lower-polling contenders like Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar as longshots.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
마켓 개설일: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
거래량
$173,584종료일
2026.05.30마켓 개설일
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 77.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by the latest Pallas Data poll of party members (May 1–2) showing her leading first preferences at 31% amid 11.5% undecideds, with preferential ballot exhaustion likely consolidating support behind the frontrunner. Her endorsements from MLAs Harman Bhangu and Kristina Loewen, former premiers Jason Kenney and Gordon Campbell, plus National Post backing and strong fundraising, have widened her edge over Kerry-Lynne Findlay (24% in poll, 13.5% market) following final debates and candidate withdrawals. Voting opens May 23 after membership verification closes May 20, positioning lower-polling contenders like Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar as longshots.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
거래량
$173,584종료일
2026.05.30마켓 개설일
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 77.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by the latest Pallas Data poll of party members (May 1–2) showing her leading first preferences at 31% amid 11.5% undecideds, with preferential ballot exhaustion likely consolidating support behind the frontrunner. Her endorsements from MLAs Harman Bhangu and Kristina Loewen, former premiers Jason Kenney and Gordon Campbell, plus National Post backing and strong fundraising, have widened her edge over Kerry-Lynne Findlay (24% in poll, 13.5% market) following final debates and candidate withdrawals. Voting opens May 23 after membership verification closes May 20, positioning lower-polling contenders like Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar as longshots.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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