Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
카밀루 산타나 4.8%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,155 거래량
$53,155 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
64%
Elmano de Freitas
22%
카밀루 산타나
5%
Eduardo Girão
7%
Roberto Cláudio
2%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
카밀루 산타나 4.8%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,155 거래량
$53,155 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
$35,966 거래량
64%
Elmano de Freitas
$5,639 거래량
22%
카밀루 산타나
$2,887 거래량
5%
Eduardo Girão
$3,074 거래량
7%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,784 거래량
2%
Capitão Wagner
$3,805 거래량
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
거래량
$53,155종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$53,155종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Ciro Gomes at 63.5% for Ceará's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by late April polls from Genial/Quaest and Instituto Veritá showing him leading first-round scenarios 41-54% over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-35%, with comfortable runoff advantages. Ciro's early May confirmation of his PSDB pre-candidacy—dropping a potential presidential bid—has solidified his position as the leading challenger in the longtime PT stronghold, boosting momentum amid high undecideds (20-34%). Camilo Santana trails at 9% amid PT internal tensions, while Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner lag far behind. Upcoming polls and June candidate registrations could shift dynamics before the October first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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