Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 81.5% for Florida's 12th Congressional District, driven by the newly redrawn map's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI) following mid-decade redistricting that strengthens GOP control statewide. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, seeking an 11th term, announced his bid on April 29 with over $1 million raised and President Trump's fourth endorsement, facing no serious primary challengers. Democrats' primary features underfunded candidates Christopher Irizarry ($15,000 raised) and recent entrant Kimberly Overman ($127,000), who switched districts May 5 amid boundary shifts placing her home in CD-12. Bilirakis' past margins (62-71%) and weak opposition cement the lopsided odds ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,584 거래량
$23,584 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
82%
민주당
17%
$23,584 거래량
$23,584 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,635 거래량
82%
민주당
$14,949 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 81.5% for Florida's 12th Congressional District, driven by the newly redrawn map's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI) following mid-decade redistricting that strengthens GOP control statewide. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, seeking an 11th term, announced his bid on April 29 with over $1 million raised and President Trump's fourth endorsement, facing no serious primary challengers. Democrats' primary features underfunded candidates Christopher Irizarry ($15,000 raised) and recent entrant Kimberly Overman ($127,000), who switched districts May 5 amid boundary shifts placing her home in CD-12. Bilirakis' past margins (62-71%) and weak opposition cement the lopsided odds ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$23,584종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 81.5% for Florida's 12th Congressional District, driven by the newly redrawn map's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI) following mid-decade redistricting that strengthens GOP control statewide. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, seeking an 11th term, announced his bid on April 29 with over $1 million raised and President Trump's fourth endorsement, facing no serious primary challengers. Democrats' primary features underfunded candidates Christopher Irizarry ($15,000 raised) and recent entrant Kimberly Overman ($127,000), who switched districts May 5 amid boundary shifts placing her home in CD-12. Bilirakis' past margins (62-71%) and weak opposition cement the lopsided odds ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,584종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 81.5% for Florida's 12th Congressional District, driven by the newly redrawn map's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI) following mid-decade redistricting that strengthens GOP control statewide. Incumbent Gus Bilirakis, seeking an 11th term, announced his bid on April 29 with over $1 million raised and President Trump's fourth endorsement, facing no serious primary challengers. Democrats' primary features underfunded candidates Christopher Irizarry ($15,000 raised) and recent entrant Kimberly Overman ($127,000), who switched districts May 5 amid boundary shifts placing her home in CD-12. Bilirakis' past margins (62-71%) and weak opposition cement the lopsided odds ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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