**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?
96-97°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$38,851 거래량
$38,851 거래량
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$38,851 거래량
$38,851 거래량
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문