Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Houston on July 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 4?
94-95°F 55%
96-97°F 36%
92-93°F 6.3%
98-99°F 3.7%
신규
$21,744 거래량
신규
$21,744 거래량
2026.07.04
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
55%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 55%
96-97°F 36%
92-93°F 6.3%
98-99°F 3.7%
신규
$21,744 거래량
신규
$21,744 거래량
2026.07.04
83°F or below
$277 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$898 거래량
<1%
86-87°F
$857 거래량
<1%
88-89°F
$1,434 거래량
<1%
90-91°F
$1,030 거래량
1%
92-93°F
$2,320 거래량
6%
94-95°F
$7,739 거래량
55%
96-97°F
$3,305 거래량
36%
98-99°F
$1,585 거래량
4%
100-101°F
$1,113 거래량
<1%
102°F or higher
$1,186 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
거래량
$21,744종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$21,744종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETPersistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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