Recent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds to 100% on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta have moderated daytime heating under stable high-pressure influence, keeping temperatures near the subtropical spring climatological range of 26–28°C. Official observations at Bao’an Airport will resolve the market, with traders viewing this alignment as strong evidence given light winds and partial cloud cover. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C shift, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-term convective timing even when model agreement is high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 선전에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 선전에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$51,503 거래량
$51,503 거래량
2026.05.17
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$51,503 거래량
$51,503 거래량
2026.05.17
21°C or below
$1,761 거래량
No
22°C
$1,788 거래량
No
23°C
$3,372 거래량
No
24°C
$5,998 거래량
No
25°C
$2,854 거래량
No
26°C
$5,483 거래량
No
27°C
$12,293 거래량
Yes
28°C
$5,789 거래량
No
29°C
$4,837 거래량
No
30°C
$2,286 거래량
No
31°C or higher
$5,040 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds to 100% on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta have moderated daytime heating under stable high-pressure influence, keeping temperatures near the subtropical spring climatological range of 26–28°C. Official observations at Bao’an Airport will resolve the market, with traders viewing this alignment as strong evidence given light winds and partial cloud cover. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C shift, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-term convective timing even when model agreement is high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$51,503종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds to 100% on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta have moderated daytime heating under stable high-pressure influence, keeping temperatures near the subtropical spring climatological range of 26–28°C. Official observations at Bao’an Airport will resolve the market, with traders viewing this alignment as strong evidence given light winds and partial cloud cover. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C shift, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-term convective timing even when model agreement is high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$51,503종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds to 100% on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta have moderated daytime heating under stable high-pressure influence, keeping temperatures near the subtropical spring climatological range of 26–28°C. Official observations at Bao’an Airport will resolve the market, with traders viewing this alignment as strong evidence given light winds and partial cloud cover. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C shift, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-term convective timing even when model agreement is high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문