Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
75°F 이하
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
3%
94°F 이상
1%
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 10%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
75°F 이하
$365 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$364 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$70 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$25 거래량
3%
82-83°F
$99 거래량
10%
84-85°F
$200 거래량
22%
86-87°F
$72 거래량
35%
88-89°F
$96 거래량
35%
90-91°F
$7 거래량
6%
92-93°F
$5 거래량
3%
94°F 이상
$70 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$1,373종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,373종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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