SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in April and recent acceleration of its IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpin the market-implied 91.5% probability for a June outcome. Faster-than-expected regulatory review has enabled a roadshow launch in early June, supporting a valuation range of $1.75–2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise that would rank among the largest in history. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable milestones, including the prospectus's expected public release imminently and allocation of up to 30% of shares to retail investors. A modest 6.2% July probability accounts for possible delays from final pricing mechanics or market volatility, while outcomes beyond mid-2026 remain below 1% given the compressed schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 92%
7월 6.3%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 <1%
9월 <1%
$362,729 거래량
$362,729 거래량
5월
<1%
6월
92%
7월
6%
8월
1%
9월
1%
10월
<1%
11월
<1%
12월
<1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
1%
6월 92%
7월 6.3%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 <1%
9월 <1%
$362,729 거래량
$362,729 거래량
5월
<1%
6월
92%
7월
6%
8월
1%
9월
1%
10월
<1%
11월
<1%
12월
<1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
마켓 개설일: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in April and recent acceleration of its IPO timeline, with a targeted Nasdaq listing as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpin the market-implied 91.5% probability for a June outcome. Faster-than-expected regulatory review has enabled a roadshow launch in early June, supporting a valuation range of $1.75–2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise that would rank among the largest in history. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable milestones, including the prospectus's expected public release imminently and allocation of up to 30% of shares to retail investors. A modest 6.2% July probability accounts for possible delays from final pricing mechanics or market volatility, while outcomes beyond mid-2026 remain below 1% given the compressed schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문