Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C on June 11 under an easterly airstream bringing mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate winds. This aligns with June climatology showing typical overnight lows near 26–27°C and seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures overall. Model consensus supports limited overnight cooling due to cloud cover and humidity, underpinning the 93% market-implied probability for 25°C. Unusually clear conditions or a shift to drier northerly flow could allow slightly lower readings near 24°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 11일 홍콩 최저 기온?
25°C 93%
24°C 7%
23°C 2.1%
29°C <1%
$28,939 거래량
$28,939 거래량
21°C 이하
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
93%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C 이상
<1%
25°C 93%
24°C 7%
23°C 2.1%
29°C <1%
$28,939 거래량
$28,939 거래량
21°C 이하
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
93%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C on June 11 under an easterly airstream bringing mainly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate winds. This aligns with June climatology showing typical overnight lows near 26–27°C and seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures overall. Model consensus supports limited overnight cooling due to cloud cover and humidity, underpinning the 93% market-implied probability for 25°C. Unusually clear conditions or a shift to drier northerly flow could allow slightly lower readings near 24°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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