Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory point to overnight lows near 26–27°C on June 18, driven by expected thundershowers, high humidity near 85%, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, amid a seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures overall, create tight uncertainty between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as cloud cover and rainfall timing can shift minimums by 1°C. Model consensus shows typical summer convective activity rather than strong cooling influences like clear skies or dry air, keeping probabilities balanced while underscoring sensitivity to the precise onset of precipitation and wind patterns overnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 18일 홍콩 최저 기온?
26°C 40%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
28°C 4.8%
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
40%
27°C
35%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
28°C 4.8%
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
40%
27°C
35%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory point to overnight lows near 26–27°C on June 18, driven by expected thundershowers, high humidity near 85%, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, amid a seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures overall, create tight uncertainty between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as cloud cover and rainfall timing can shift minimums by 1°C. Model consensus shows typical summer convective activity rather than strong cooling influences like clear skies or dry air, keeping probabilities balanced while underscoring sensitivity to the precise onset of precipitation and wind patterns overnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문