Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,241 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$1,357 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$4,598종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,598종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's strong reelection prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+6 partisan voting index, drive trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5%. Keating, who won 56.4% in 2024 amid Kamala Harris's 55-44 district margin, holds a massive fundraising edge ($518K cash-on-hand vs. challengers' under $55K) ahead of the September 1 primaries against progressive activist Craig Swallow and limited Republican opposition like fisherman Tyler Macallister. No polls or major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics in this historically safe blue seat. Scenarios like a Keating scandal, primary upset, or strong national midterm Republican wave could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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