Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 13%
0.2% 9%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
7%
0.4%
13%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
40%
0.7%
14%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
8%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 13%
0.2% 9%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
≤0.1%
$29 거래량
4%
0.2%
$27 거래량
9%
0.3%
$389 거래량
7%
0.4%
$512 거래량
13%
0.5%
$29 거래량
35%
0.6%
$258 거래량
40%
0.7%
$27 거래량
14%
0.8%
$77 거래량
5%
≥0.9%
$89 거래량
8%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
거래량
$1,436종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
거래량
$1,436종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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