Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Delia Velculescu 28.1%
Șerban Matei 18.4%
Sorin Grindeanu 9%
라두 버르네테 9%
$595,575 거래량
$595,575 거래량
2026.05.31
Delia Velculescu
28%
Șerban Matei
18%
Sorin Grindeanu
9%
라두 버르네테
9%
Cătălin Predoiu
5%
Anca Dragu
3%
드라고시 피슬라루
3%
Lucian Croitoru
2%
알렉산드루 나자레
2%
알렉산드루 로고베테
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
단 모트레아누
1%
George Simion
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
1%
치프리안 치우쿠
1%
칼린 게오르게스쿠
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
후노르 켈레멘
<1%
트라이안 베서스쿠
<1%
Delia Velculescu 28.1%
Șerban Matei 18.4%
Sorin Grindeanu 9%
라두 버르네테 9%
$595,575 거래량
$595,575 거래량
2026.05.31
Delia Velculescu
$16,508 거래량
28%
Șerban Matei
$18,982 거래량
18%
Sorin Grindeanu
$70,281 거래량
9%
라두 버르네테
$19,686 거래량
9%
Cătălin Predoiu
$66,211 거래량
5%
Anca Dragu
$19,506 거래량
3%
드라고시 피슬라루
$12,914 거래량
3%
Lucian Croitoru
$14,855 거래량
2%
알렉산드루 나자레
$5,054 거래량
2%
알렉산드루 로고베테
$10,751 거래량
1%
Ilie Bolojan
$60,849 거래량
1%
단 모트레아누
$11,592 거래량
1%
George Simion
$12,153 거래량
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
$29,436 거래량
1%
치프리안 치우쿠
$969 거래량
1%
칼린 게오르게스쿠
$9,570 거래량
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
$11,081 거래량
<1%
Mircea Geoană
$16,895 거래량
<1%
Lucian Isar
$12,256 거래량
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
$11,829 거래량
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
$12,536 거래량
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
$12,629 거래량
<1%
Elena Lasconi
$36,584 거래량
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
$13,867 거래량
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
$12,742 거래량
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
$16,996 거래량
<1%
Emil Boc
$13,158 거래량
<1%
Dominic Fritz
$12,397 거래량
<1%
Raluca Turcan
$9,511 거래량
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
$14,083 거래량
<1%
후노르 켈레멘
$8,829 거래량
<1%
트라이안 베서스쿠
$864 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
거래량
$595,575종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$595,575종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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