OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.5조 달러+ 29.4%
1.25조~1.5조 21%
1조~1.25조 16.1%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음 14%
$45,090 거래량
$45,090 거래량
5,000억 미만
3%
5,000억~7,500억
5%
7,500억~1조
13%
1조~1.25조
16%
1.25조~1.5조
21%
1.5조 달러+
29%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음
14%
1.5조 달러+ 29.4%
1.25조~1.5조 21%
1조~1.25조 16.1%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음 14%
$45,090 거래량
$45,090 거래량
5,000억 미만
3%
5,000억~7,500억
5%
7,500억~1조
13%
1조~1.25조
16%
1.25조~1.5조
21%
1.5조 달러+
29%
2027년 12월 31일까지 상장 없음
14%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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