South Dakota's deep Republican tilt and history of strong GOP performance in statewide contests underpin the current market positioning, where the Republican nominee holds overwhelming implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the June 2 Republican primary shows U.S. Representative Dusty Johnson maintaining a clear lead over competitors including incumbent Governor Larry Rhoden, House Speaker Jon Hansen, and businessman Toby Doeden, reflecting Johnson's name recognition and fundraising edge in a state where the primary winner effectively secures the governorship. A Democratic victory remains possible only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unanticipated national political shift that alters turnout patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,857 거래량
$12,857 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
6%
$12,857 거래량
$12,857 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$4,894 거래량
94%
민주당
$7,963 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's deep Republican tilt and history of strong GOP performance in statewide contests underpin the current market positioning, where the Republican nominee holds overwhelming implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the June 2 Republican primary shows U.S. Representative Dusty Johnson maintaining a clear lead over competitors including incumbent Governor Larry Rhoden, House Speaker Jon Hansen, and businessman Toby Doeden, reflecting Johnson's name recognition and fundraising edge in a state where the primary winner effectively secures the governorship. A Democratic victory remains possible only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unanticipated national political shift that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$12,857종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's deep Republican tilt and history of strong GOP performance in statewide contests underpin the current market positioning, where the Republican nominee holds overwhelming implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the June 2 Republican primary shows U.S. Representative Dusty Johnson maintaining a clear lead over competitors including incumbent Governor Larry Rhoden, House Speaker Jon Hansen, and businessman Toby Doeden, reflecting Johnson's name recognition and fundraising edge in a state where the primary winner effectively secures the governorship. A Democratic victory remains possible only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unanticipated national political shift that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$12,857종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's deep Republican tilt and history of strong GOP performance in statewide contests underpin the current market positioning, where the Republican nominee holds overwhelming implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election. Recent polling in the June 2 Republican primary shows U.S. Representative Dusty Johnson maintaining a clear lead over competitors including incumbent Governor Larry Rhoden, House Speaker Jon Hansen, and businessman Toby Doeden, reflecting Johnson's name recognition and fundraising edge in a state where the primary winner effectively secures the governorship. A Democratic victory remains possible only under exceptional circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee or an unanticipated national political shift that alters turnout patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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