Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits have stalled US-Iran diplomatic negotiations in recent weeks, with Tehran rejecting upfront concessions on its nuclear program in favor of a permanent ceasefire first. US officials described Iran's latest proposal as unacceptable, citing disputes over stockpile reductions, enrichment moratorium duration, and verification measures. These developments follow earlier exchanges of proposals in April and early May that failed to bridge gaps on core issues, leaving insufficient time before the May 31 deadline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this lack of breakthrough in bilateral talks and the absence of scheduled high-level summits or agreements capable of resolving outstanding differences in the remaining period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$666,899 거래량
$666,899 거래량
2026.05.31
$666,899 거래량
$666,899 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits have stalled US-Iran diplomatic negotiations in recent weeks, with Tehran rejecting upfront concessions on its nuclear program in favor of a permanent ceasefire first. US officials described Iran's latest proposal as unacceptable, citing disputes over stockpile reductions, enrichment moratorium duration, and verification measures. These developments follow earlier exchanges of proposals in April and early May that failed to bridge gaps on core issues, leaving insufficient time before the May 31 deadline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this lack of breakthrough in bilateral talks and the absence of scheduled high-level summits or agreements capable of resolving outstanding differences in the remaining period.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
거래량
$666,899종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits have stalled US-Iran diplomatic negotiations in recent weeks, with Tehran rejecting upfront concessions on its nuclear program in favor of a permanent ceasefire first. US officials described Iran's latest proposal as unacceptable, citing disputes over stockpile reductions, enrichment moratorium duration, and verification measures. These developments follow earlier exchanges of proposals in April and early May that failed to bridge gaps on core issues, leaving insufficient time before the May 31 deadline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this lack of breakthrough in bilateral talks and the absence of scheduled high-level summits or agreements capable of resolving outstanding differences in the remaining period.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$666,899종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits have stalled US-Iran diplomatic negotiations in recent weeks, with Tehran rejecting upfront concessions on its nuclear program in favor of a permanent ceasefire first. US officials described Iran's latest proposal as unacceptable, citing disputes over stockpile reductions, enrichment moratorium duration, and verification measures. These developments follow earlier exchanges of proposals in April and early May that failed to bridge gaps on core issues, leaving insufficient time before the May 31 deadline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this lack of breakthrough in bilateral talks and the absence of scheduled high-level summits or agreements capable of resolving outstanding differences in the remaining period.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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