Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing criminal investigation opened in May 2026 by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional over alleged influence-peddling and money laundering tied to the 2021 Plus Ultra airline bailout. He has been summoned to testify on June 2 as an investigado, with police searches of his office already completed, but no arrest warrant has been issued. Spanish judicial procedure typically advances through formal questioning and evidence review before detention in such cases, and the short window to June 30 offers limited scope for escalation. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no arrest reflects these procedural realities and the absence of any reported imminent enforcement action against the former leader.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
$31,704 거래량
$31,704 거래량
2026.06.30
$31,704 거래량
$31,704 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing criminal investigation opened in May 2026 by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional over alleged influence-peddling and money laundering tied to the 2021 Plus Ultra airline bailout. He has been summoned to testify on June 2 as an investigado, with police searches of his office already completed, but no arrest warrant has been issued. Spanish judicial procedure typically advances through formal questioning and evidence review before detention in such cases, and the short window to June 30 offers limited scope for escalation. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no arrest reflects these procedural realities and the absence of any reported imminent enforcement action against the former leader.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
거래량
$31,704종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing criminal investigation opened in May 2026 by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional over alleged influence-peddling and money laundering tied to the 2021 Plus Ultra airline bailout. He has been summoned to testify on June 2 as an investigado, with police searches of his office already completed, but no arrest warrant has been issued. Spanish judicial procedure typically advances through formal questioning and evidence review before detention in such cases, and the short window to June 30 offers limited scope for escalation. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no arrest reflects these procedural realities and the absence of any reported imminent enforcement action against the former leader.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$31,704종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces an ongoing criminal investigation opened in May 2026 by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional over alleged influence-peddling and money laundering tied to the 2021 Plus Ultra airline bailout. He has been summoned to testify on June 2 as an investigado, with police searches of his office already completed, but no arrest warrant has been issued. Spanish judicial procedure typically advances through formal questioning and evidence review before detention in such cases, and the short window to June 30 offers limited scope for escalation. Trader consensus at 90.5% for no arrest reflects these procedural realities and the absence of any reported imminent enforcement action against the former leader.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문