Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight contest between 60-79 X posts (41.5%) and 80-99 (38%) by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from May 15-22, mirroring his established cadence of 9-12 posts daily during active conflict phases. The prior May 5-12 period resolved at 80-99 posts, consistent with April swings like 64 posts April 17-24, driven by steady updates on Russian drone strikes, ceasefire violations—as in yesterday's Kryvyi Rih residential attack—and diplomatic pushes including anti-ballistic coalitions with 13 NATO-aligned nations and ICC warrants for child abductions. Event intensity keeps odds bunched; frontline escalations, sanctions announcements, or summits could boost volume toward 100+, while de-escalation signals might pull below 60.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Zelenskyy # posts 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
Zelenskyy # posts 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
60~79 44%
80~99 39%
100~119 18%
40~59 3.8%
<20
1%
20~39
3%
40~59
7%
60~79
38%
80~99
39%
100~119
14%
120~139
4%
140-159
4%
160~179
1%
180~199
4%
200개 이상
3%
60~79 44%
80~99 39%
100~119 18%
40~59 3.8%
<20
1%
20~39
3%
40~59
7%
60~79
38%
80~99
39%
100~119
14%
120~139
4%
140-159
4%
160~179
1%
180~199
4%
200개 이상
3%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight contest between 60-79 X posts (41.5%) and 80-99 (38%) by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from May 15-22, mirroring his established cadence of 9-12 posts daily during active conflict phases. The prior May 5-12 period resolved at 80-99 posts, consistent with April swings like 64 posts April 17-24, driven by steady updates on Russian drone strikes, ceasefire violations—as in yesterday's Kryvyi Rih residential attack—and diplomatic pushes including anti-ballistic coalitions with 13 NATO-aligned nations and ICC warrants for child abductions. Event intensity keeps odds bunched; frontline escalations, sanctions announcements, or summits could boost volume toward 100+, while de-escalation signals might pull below 60.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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