Recent polling in Bahia shows a technical tie or narrow edge for ACM Neto of União Brasil over incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT, with results ranging from 44-39 percent to 41-37 percent in stimulated scenarios. This tight race stems from the incumbent's solid approval rating near 56 percent and structural advantages in rural and PT-aligned areas, balanced against Neto's stronger performance among independents and urban voters in Salvador. National political alliances and the state's history of second-round runoffs further sustain the uncertainty, with five months remaining until the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects these competing dynamics, where small shifts in turnout or coalition strength could decide the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 44%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$14,079 Wol.
$14,079 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
40%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
ACM Neto 48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 44%
Kleber Rosa <1%
João Roma <1%
$14,079 Wol.
$14,079 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
ACM Neto
$3,817 Wol.
48%
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$3,895 Wol.
40%
Kleber Rosa
$1,281 Wol.
<1%
João Roma
$966 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,060 Wol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$1,938 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,124 Wol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Bahia shows a technical tie or narrow edge for ACM Neto of União Brasil over incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT, with results ranging from 44-39 percent to 41-37 percent in stimulated scenarios. This tight race stems from the incumbent's solid approval rating near 56 percent and structural advantages in rural and PT-aligned areas, balanced against Neto's stronger performance among independents and urban voters in Salvador. National political alliances and the state's history of second-round runoffs further sustain the uncertainty, with five months remaining until the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects these competing dynamics, where small shifts in turnout or coalition strength could decide the outcome.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,079Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Bahia shows a technical tie or narrow edge for ACM Neto of União Brasil over incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT, with results ranging from 44-39 percent to 41-37 percent in stimulated scenarios. This tight race stems from the incumbent's solid approval rating near 56 percent and structural advantages in rural and PT-aligned areas, balanced against Neto's stronger performance among independents and urban voters in Salvador. National political alliances and the state's history of second-round runoffs further sustain the uncertainty, with five months remaining until the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects these competing dynamics, where small shifts in turnout or coalition strength could decide the outcome.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$14,079Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Bahia shows a technical tie or narrow edge for ACM Neto of União Brasil over incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT, with results ranging from 44-39 percent to 41-37 percent in stimulated scenarios. This tight race stems from the incumbent's solid approval rating near 56 percent and structural advantages in rural and PT-aligned areas, balanced against Neto's stronger performance among independents and urban voters in Salvador. National political alliances and the state's history of second-round runoffs further sustain the uncertainty, with five months remaining until the October 4 first-round vote. Trader consensus reflects these competing dynamics, where small shifts in turnout or coalition strength could decide the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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