Recent upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, driven by accelerating food and fuel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, have positioned the 5.00-5.49% bracket as the market favorite at 27.5% implied probability. April 2026 IPCA rose to 4.39% year-over-year, aligning closely with the 4.50-4.99% range at 18%, while private economists in the Central Bank’s Focus survey lifted end-2026 expectations to 4.91% after nine consecutive increases. Competitive dynamics between the top three brackets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal loosening and wage pressures will sustain the uptrend or if monetary easing later this year will anchor readings nearer 4%. Traders are weighing these factors against historical precedent of inflation converging toward the 3% target by 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBrazil Annual Inflation 2026
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
5.50-5.99% 19.6%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$58,243 Wol.
$58,243 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
6%
3.50-3.99%
10%
4.00-4.49%
8%
4.50-4.99%
18%
5.00-5.49%
28%
5.50-5.99%
20%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
5%
7.00%+
11%
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
5.50-5.99% 19.6%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$58,243 Wol.
$58,243 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
$4,315 Wol.
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,375 Wol.
6%
3.50-3.99%
$9,953 Wol.
10%
4.00-4.49%
$7,727 Wol.
8%
4.50-4.99%
$7,027 Wol.
18%
5.00-5.49%
$6,110 Wol.
28%
5.50-5.99%
$5,700 Wol.
20%
6.00-6.49%
$4,675 Wol.
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,863 Wol.
5%
7.00%+
$3,561 Wol.
11%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, driven by accelerating food and fuel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, have positioned the 5.00-5.49% bracket as the market favorite at 27.5% implied probability. April 2026 IPCA rose to 4.39% year-over-year, aligning closely with the 4.50-4.99% range at 18%, while private economists in the Central Bank’s Focus survey lifted end-2026 expectations to 4.91% after nine consecutive increases. Competitive dynamics between the top three brackets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal loosening and wage pressures will sustain the uptrend or if monetary easing later this year will anchor readings nearer 4%. Traders are weighing these factors against historical precedent of inflation converging toward the 3% target by 2027.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Rynek otwarty: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,243Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, driven by accelerating food and fuel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, have positioned the 5.00-5.49% bracket as the market favorite at 27.5% implied probability. April 2026 IPCA rose to 4.39% year-over-year, aligning closely with the 4.50-4.99% range at 18%, while private economists in the Central Bank’s Focus survey lifted end-2026 expectations to 4.91% after nine consecutive increases. Competitive dynamics between the top three brackets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal loosening and wage pressures will sustain the uptrend or if monetary easing later this year will anchor readings nearer 4%. Traders are weighing these factors against historical precedent of inflation converging toward the 3% target by 2027.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Wolumen
$58,243Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts, driven by accelerating food and fuel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, have positioned the 5.00-5.49% bracket as the market favorite at 27.5% implied probability. April 2026 IPCA rose to 4.39% year-over-year, aligning closely with the 4.50-4.99% range at 18%, while private economists in the Central Bank’s Focus survey lifted end-2026 expectations to 4.91% after nine consecutive increases. Competitive dynamics between the top three brackets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal loosening and wage pressures will sustain the uptrend or if monetary easing later this year will anchor readings nearer 4%. Traders are weighing these factors against historical precedent of inflation converging toward the 3% target by 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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