Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Świat·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Świat·Brazylia

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury 44.6%

Renan Santos 39%

Ronaldo Caiado 14%

Flávio Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket

$1,170,956 Wol.

Augusto Cury 44.6%

Renan Santos 39%

Ronaldo Caiado 14%

Flávio Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket

$1,170,956 Wol.

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$203,555 Wol.

45%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$311,838 Wol.

39%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$131,132 Wol.

14%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$73,168 Wol.

1%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$54,446 Wol.

1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$52,175 Wol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$65,885 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$16,773 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$15,847 Wol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$23,204 Wol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$20,815 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$46,212 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,208 Wol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Wol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$11,811 Wol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Wol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Wol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows a tight contest for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury (Avante) and Renan Santos (Missão) trading narrow leads in the single digits while Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) trails further back. Cury’s gains followed high-profile television interviews and debates in late August that boosted his profile as a centrist outsider focused on reducing polarization, though his support has since moderated in September surveys. Santos has drawn incremental backing through anti-establishment messaging and social-media reach, while Caiado and Romeu Zema (Novo) have struggled to expand beyond core regional bases. Remaining debates and free electoral airtime in the final weeks could shift undecided voters among these lower-polling contenders before ballots are cast.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$1,170,956
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows a tight contest for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury (Avante) and Renan Santos (Missão) trading narrow leads in the single digits while Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) trails further back. Cury’s gains followed high-profile television interviews and debates in late August that boosted his profile as a centrist outsider focused on reducing polarization, though his support has since moderated in September surveys. Santos has drawn incremental backing through anti-establishment messaging and social-media reach, while Caiado and Romeu Zema (Novo) have struggled to expand beyond core regional bases. Remaining debates and free electoral airtime in the final weeks could shift undecided voters among these lower-polling contenders before ballots are cast.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$1,170,956
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

Powiązane

icon for Czy Flávio Bolsonaro zajmie drugie miejsce w pierwszej turze wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii w 2026 roku?

Czy Flávio Bolsonaro zajmie drugie miejsce w pierwszej turze wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii w 2026 roku?

78%
Tak
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

77%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?

92%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 19 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Augusto Cury" z 45%, za nim "Renan Santos" z 39%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" wygenerował $1.2 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 11, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place", przeglądaj 19 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" jest "Augusto Cury" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Renan Santos" z 39%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.