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Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Polityka·Wybory Globalne

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 Wol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 Wol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,545 Wol.

71%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,316 Wol.

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,665 Wol.

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,017 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,707 Wol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,254 Wol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,093 Wol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,492 Wol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,904 Wol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,584 Wol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,550 Wol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,471 Wol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,585 Wol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,127 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,086 Wol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,205 Wol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 Wol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages indicate that Iván Cepeda of the ruling Historic Pact is positioned to finish first in the May 31 first round but remains well short of an outright majority. This leaves the battle for second place centered on the fragmented conservative vote, where Abelardo de la Espriella has maintained a consistent edge over Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center in surveys from Invamer, GAD3, and Guarumo. De la Espriella’s outsider campaign, emphasizing strict security measures and drawing comparisons to regional hardline leaders, has consolidated support among right-leaning voters who reject continuity with the current administration. Valencia, by contrast, has struggled to unify the broader center-right coalition following primary results. With roughly two weeks remaining before voting, these dynamics have produced the current trader consensus on second-place probabilities.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Wolumen
$90,132
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages indicate that Iván Cepeda of the ruling Historic Pact is positioned to finish first in the May 31 first round but remains well short of an outright majority. This leaves the battle for second place centered on the fragmented conservative vote, where Abelardo de la Espriella has maintained a consistent edge over Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center in surveys from Invamer, GAD3, and Guarumo. De la Espriella’s outsider campaign, emphasizing strict security measures and drawing comparisons to regional hardline leaders, has consolidated support among right-leaning voters who reject continuity with the current administration. Valencia, by contrast, has struggled to unify the broader center-right coalition following primary results. With roughly two weeks remaining before voting, these dynamics have produced the current trader consensus on second-place probabilities.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Wolumen
$90,132
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 17 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Abelardo de la Espriella" z 71%, za nim "Paloma Valencia" z 18%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 71¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" wygenerował $90.1K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 21, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place", przeglądaj 17 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" jest "Abelardo de la Espriella" z 71%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 71% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Paloma Valencia" z 18%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.