The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16 hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4% target range, its first since 2023, anchors current sentiment amid August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core measures near 2.4%. Policymakers' dot plot showed 16 of 18 expecting at least one more quarter-point increase by year-end, with median PCE inflation forecasts revised higher to 3.7%. Solid GDP expansion, stable unemployment near 4.1%, and resilient labor data reinforce the hawkish tilt, pushing implied probabilities for near-term cuts sharply lower. The next FOMC meeting in late October and September CPI release on October 14 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift rate-cut timing expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFOMC September Meeting Concludes with Rate Hold at 3.50%-3.75%
The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% during the September 15-16 meeting, with no rate cut announced. The decision confirmed market expectations shaped by prior hawkish signals and strong economic data, solidifying the low probability of a December rate cut.
Federal Reserve Holds Rates at September Meeting, No Cut Announced
December Meeting dips to 5%2%
At the September 16 FOMC meeting, the Fed decided to hold rates steady with no cut, confirming market expectations and resulting in the December Meeting option price settling at a low level reflecting reduced cut probability.
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