Traders' near-unanimous consensus on the 85–90 per 100,000 range for cumulative influenza hospitalization reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data through week 17 (ending May 2, 2026), reporting a rate of 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since 2010–2011—with minimal weekly additions of just 0.2 per 100,000 amid low seasonal activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends since week 14's 84.5 rate, confirmed by FluSight nowcasts predicting few new admissions for week 18 (May 3–9), solidify this positioning, as further accruals are unlikely to exceed 90. Realistic challenges include upward revisions from delayed reporting or undercounted cases, though historical patterns suggest stability; the official FluView week 18 report, due soon, will confirm resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$17,846 Wol.
$17,846 Wol.
May 15, 2026
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$17,846 Wol.
$17,846 Wol.
May 15, 2026
<80
$1,606 Wol.
No
80–85
$1,729 Wol.
No
85–90
$8,496 Wol.
Yes
90–95
$3,413 Wol.
No
95–100
$1,787 Wol.
No
100+
$815 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders' near-unanimous consensus on the 85–90 per 100,000 range for cumulative influenza hospitalization reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data through week 17 (ending May 2, 2026), reporting a rate of 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since 2010–2011—with minimal weekly additions of just 0.2 per 100,000 amid low seasonal activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends since week 14's 84.5 rate, confirmed by FluSight nowcasts predicting few new admissions for week 18 (May 3–9), solidify this positioning, as further accruals are unlikely to exceed 90. Realistic challenges include upward revisions from delayed reporting or undercounted cases, though historical patterns suggest stability; the official FluView week 18 report, due soon, will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$17,846Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders' near-unanimous consensus on the 85–90 per 100,000 range for cumulative influenza hospitalization reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data through week 17 (ending May 2, 2026), reporting a rate of 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since 2010–2011—with minimal weekly additions of just 0.2 per 100,000 amid low seasonal activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends since week 14's 84.5 rate, confirmed by FluSight nowcasts predicting few new admissions for week 18 (May 3–9), solidify this positioning, as further accruals are unlikely to exceed 90. Realistic challenges include upward revisions from delayed reporting or undercounted cases, though historical patterns suggest stability; the official FluView week 18 report, due soon, will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Wolumen
$17,846Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders' near-unanimous consensus on the 85–90 per 100,000 range for cumulative influenza hospitalization reflects the latest CDC FluSurv-NET data through week 17 (ending May 2, 2026), reporting a rate of 86.0 per 100,000—the third highest since 2010–2011—with minimal weekly additions of just 0.2 per 100,000 amid low seasonal activity dominated by influenza A(H3N2). Declining trends since week 14's 84.5 rate, confirmed by FluSight nowcasts predicting few new admissions for week 18 (May 3–9), solidify this positioning, as further accruals are unlikely to exceed 90. Realistic challenges include upward revisions from delayed reporting or undercounted cases, though historical patterns suggest stability; the official FluView week 18 report, due soon, will confirm resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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